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Global Markets Analysis – 22 July 2016

A commentary written by Tony Tong


22.07.2016 周五 油脂类商品今日出现更小周期上的下跌调整走势

美盘黄豆连延续下挫整理走势,美盘豆油12合约依旧不温不火的横盘震荡,期价下有5、10、20日均线支撑,上有40与60天均线压制,美豆油依旧上下两难中挣扎波动,整体期价变化不大,成交萎缩-盘中表现无新意。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油 1609合约,今天周五盘中高开低走,期价中阴K线下跌,在期价连续多日不能发力走高之后,短线多头主力耐心出现涣散,部分多头减仓盘令期价发生小幅下滑,密切关注随后短线(下周初)在走势上今天的失地能否被收回。

马盘毛棕榈油基准9月,在期价连续7日红盘拔高上涨表现之后,今天也出现了小阴K线。本波棕榈油9月技术性小幅反弹有一个明显特征-逐日“减仓上行”,盘口语言表现为空头主力平仓期价走高。今天周五盘中,马棕榈在弥补了原来跳空缺口后,期价又主动回撤到5日均线处,从技术上观察,在连续盘升之后出现小的单日整理-不足为惧,只要不出现大的乌云盖顶,吞没走势,我们继续保持短多思维。

小结:油脂类商品本周五均出现不同程度的回落调整走势,今天的盘面走势-其实我们在昨天报告中就有所提及,特别是马盘毛棕榈油在连续7连阳红盘表现之后,小时图表上已经出现更小周期上的超买继续,今天的小阴K线走势也在我们的预料之中,只要盘面上不发生大的变盘信号,我们继续短多看待。观点认为具体操作上:大陆内盘油脂商品多单谨慎持有,马盘棕榈油多单继续持有。建议后市关注美盘豆油下周初的具体表现。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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