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Global Markets Analysis – 22 June 2016

A commentary written by Tony Tong


22.06.2016 周三 马来西亚因公共假期停盘一天

美盘原油连在期价短暂回落均线整理过后,在多头排列的下方均线支撑下,期价仅几日再所抬头,震荡反弹攀升得以延续,当前期价维持在50美元整数关口附近,后市短线上美原油仍有上行走高的动能。

美原油的震荡走高抑制了美盘豆油的持续下挫,美豆油12月合约近2日期价下跌幅度收窄,显现出横盘震荡迹象,但据此就说美豆油已经止跌企稳还略显为时过早,我们继续短空思维对待美盘豆油,建议密切关注该品种的下方回落空间。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1609主力合约,期价抵抗性回落整理中,今天周三早盘低开高走小阳红盘表现,在美盘尚未出现真正的止跌企稳前,恐大陆内盘油脂商品将继续保持回落整理状态下的波动震荡疲软走势。

今天6月22日星期三,是马来西亚–可兰经降世日Nuzul Al‐Quran,马盘因公共假期而停盘一天。从昨日马盘棕榈油基准9月走势表现来说,马棕榈震荡下挫疲软走势延续中,期价略微出现下跌加速迹象,马盘棕榈油短线角度的下探整理进行到尾声阶段,后市空单在谨慎持有中保持逢低平仓兑现离场思路对待。

小结:全球油脂类商品短线角度的下挫回落整理行情仍在进行中,随着期价不断走低,部分品种略微出现多头抵抗迹象,但在美盘豆油尚未真正止跌企稳前,我们继续保持疲软短空思路对待,仅仅思维上略微提前一步,时刻准备空单逢低离场兑现利润的准备,以避免到手的鸭子飞掉。观点认为具体操作上:空单继续持有,继续关注美盘豆油的后市表现。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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