Share

Tweet this

Dealing Desk Hotline

(603)-2181 8848

Global Markets Analysis – 22 March 2015

A commentary written by Tony Tong


22.03.2015 周日 期货市场各类商品本周回顾

本周 3月16日至3月20日,美元指数3月16日周初见高点100.39冲高回落,拉开中线上行后的短线整理行情,虽当前不能判断为中线的大整理行情,但短线的回落走势已经不可避免。特别是周五时候 K线组合为二阴夹一阳,短线下挫进行中。

美元一周来的的短线回落整理,令期货市场大宗商品下行压力骤然减轻,其中贵金属首当其冲,以黄金与白银为代表的贵金属探底回升走势迹象明显,短线展开反弹行情。有色金属铜与锌也受美元回落影响,周五是否长阳上涨,其中伦敦铜长阳收盘并创近期盘中新高。外汇市场由于美元的短线回落,欧元和英镑也同样出现短线的走强迹象。

我们较为关心的油脂类商品,本周同样出现止跌企稳迹象,虽然反弹上行力度盘中表现还较弱,但大陆内盘豆油棕榈油1509主力合约与美盘豆油5月均出现在前低(1月29日)位置处有所支撑,虽然盘面反弹信号还不够强大,但丝许的初期任何技术信号都要引起我们的注意(毕竟这是我们多日来思维中一直所关注的问题焦点)。因此低位的接单计划建议尝试性操作试盘(提前设置好止损位;进单有理由;出单有根据)。马盘毛棕榈油基准5月合约短线走势与内盘和美盘略有不同,马盘毛棕榈油中线走势为低位的大区间震荡,(箱体内水平波浪式走势)下线为2100位置而上线为2350位置,波幅宽度为250令吉特,在靠近下沿2100位置(或参考美盘豆油30.00一线的支撑表现)也建议多单接盘买进试仓操作。

综述:美元的短线回落令全球大宗商品下行压力减弱,以贵金属与有色金属为代表的商品率先展开短线的反弹,希望这做多情绪在下周能传导到油脂类商品上。后市短线建议在美盘豆油5月临近前低位置的市场表现仍密切关注。观点认为靠近前低附近多单少量接盘试仓(前低下方X点设置为止损位),耐心观察油脂商品的下周表现。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

Subscribe to OPF Blog via Feed Reader or Email
 

DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 










Untitled Document



Share and Enjoy:
[del.icio.us] [Digg] [Facebook] [Google] [Mixx] [MySpace] [Twitter] [Windows Live] [Yahoo!] [Email]

Post a Comment

Displayed next to your comments.

Not displayed publicly

If you have a website, link ti it here

PLEASE NOTE:

OPF reserves the right to delete comments that are snarky, offensive, or off-topic. If in doubt, read our Comments Policy.


SiteLock