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Global Markets Analysis – 22 March 2017

A commentary written by Tony Tong

22.03.2017 周三 马盘棕榈油在前高附近震荡徘徊

美元指数昨日周二晚间中阴K线下跌,短线角度的回落走势明显。而贵金属黄金白银商品短线的反弹上行走势明显。外汇市场非美货币 欧元 英镑(跷跷板作用下)上涨明显。当前金融市场的短线走势基本符合我们的预期。而道琼斯指数标准普尔500欧美股票市场的长阴走低,拖累了有色金属板块。对油脂商品市场来说—–美盘豆油5月合约,期价继续保持震荡拔高态势,虽然涨幅不是很大,但地位拐点迹象还是较为明显,我们继续对油脂商品保持短线短多观点。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油 棕榈油1705主力合约,内盘棕榈强 豆油弱的局面还在延续中,由于今日周三内盘有色金属铜锌黑金属螺纹钢,甚至化工商品橡胶的意外下跌(受欧美股票市场下跌联动影响),内盘油脂商品今日多头主力操作趋于谨慎,期价呈小阴K线表现,整体期价波动不大。

马盘毛棕榈油基准6月(或5月),今天周三早盘期价高开低走,盘中高点将近靠近3.6日的前高点(2898令吉特)位置(今日见到2895令吉特 差3令吉),马盘棕榈的反弹上冲欲望还是比较强烈的,仅仅缺少了美盘内盘的支持。我们继续保持短多思维对待。

小结:全球期货市场大宗商品走势动荡不安,各品种走势分化,市场多空主力对后市看法分歧严重。而我们对油脂类商品继续保持短多思维,未来后市短线—–我们散户朋友内心深处始终保持这种心态 就可“立于不败之地”:那就是—– 待后市期价反弹走高达到一定高度之后,多单逢高派发减仓,并且是越涨越减。我们后市短线的关注焦点就放在—–本波反弹走势的“高度”上来,这就是我们后期唯一要做的。操作上:多单继续持有。

• Global derivative products move in uncertainty.
• We maintain a short-term long outlook.
• In the event prices touch a high level, retail traders are advised to gradually reduce long positions.

• Traders may retain long positions.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.


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