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Global Markets Analysis – 22 September 2014

A commentary written by Tony Tong


9.22日 周一 内盘商品空头氛围来袭

9月22日 (周一) ,大陆内盘期货市场风云突变,空头氛围再度来袭,狂风暴雨般横扫所有商品,从贵金属、有色金属 、化工类商品、农产品、油脂类商品和建材商品等等无一幸免,全部阴盘暴跌,其中跌幅较大的品种出现了跌停情况,具体包括:白银、橡胶和螺纹钢。

其中我们更为关心的油脂类商品中,内盘豆油和棕榈油1501合约,早盘跳空低开低走,期价继续震荡下行,箱体的下沿被击破,短线行情走坏迹象已经明显。

马盘毛棕榈油基准11月,受美盘和大陆内盘油脂商品下跌影响,今天早盘直接低开,期价已经从40天线位置跌落,短线反弹失败已经宣告结束。

小结:本波短线角度行情的走坏,是从上周四我们开始出现担忧,上周五出现预演,今天宣告成立。原前期的反弹行情至此宣告终结。后市由短线的反弹行情转为中线角度下降趋势为主导的下探行情中来。短线下行已经不可避免。个人看法是上周五建议多单出局后,今天建议反手逢高放空,后市存在下行空间,市场变我们先变,短线上紧跟市场节奏与步伐。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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