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Global Markets Analysis – 23 April 2014

A commentary written by Tony Tong

周三 内盘60天线处震荡 马盘40天线处阻挡

马盘毛棕榈油基准7月,在周一下影线红盘报收后,周二跳空高开,终盘以中阳上涨收盘。期价再次站上60天线位置, 上方还有最后一道防线 40天线的阻挡。 上周四时分期价就是从40天线受阻回落下来的,昨天期价又来到该位置,理论上讲,多头主力上拉期价仅仅是为了散多解套?主多才不会做这吃力不讨好的傻事。 今天密切关注40天线阻挡作用,上破成功前期多单继续持有, 上攻受阻 多单适量减持。 主观上我个人更倾向前种走势。

美盘大豆前期连续上涨后出现连续3天短线下挫,美豆油原先K线图形有并列3只黑小兵雏形,昨晚的下跌令K线形成短线的错列下行, 期价回落整理迹象明显,若今晚失地不能被收回,后市仍有短线回落要求。

内盘油脂昨天走势平淡, 周一下跌中阴,周二上涨中阳,一跌一涨,但期价原地踏步未变,其中棕榈油1409合约,期价是围绕60天线处 上下徘徊震荡,短线没有明确的技术方向信号给出。 内盘油脂夹在美盘回落与马盘上涨之间,无所适从。

小结: 油脂类商品外围市场昨天涨跌互现,内盘油脂走势平淡。针对到具体油脂商品上—-马盘毛棕榈油多单继续持有,密切关注上方阻挡情况。(感觉不对劲可适量减点仓) 内盘油脂商品期价忽忽悠悠,原多单设置好止损谨慎持有,以静制动防止它的忽悠干扰。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.


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