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Global Markets Analysis – 23 April 2015

A commentary written by Tony Tong

23.04.2015 周四 油脂商品短线走势依旧模糊

美豆油7月合约,昨日晚间阴K线下跌,今天周四亚洲早盘又阳K线上涨,已经连续六个交易日横盘震荡,短线上走势较为模糊(日K线图表)。从更长期角度来观察,当前美盘豆油依然在长期上升趋势线的支撑位置处横盘震荡(月K线图表 30.00位置),长期震荡筑大底,酝酿大拐点的长线行情仍进行中,当前的短线走势尚不能体现出长线的筑大底行情结束信号。恐后市走势仍需要时间来积蓄人气或消息面大的转变。(等待后期天气炒作)



小结:油脂类商品短线走势不清晰,中长期上升趋势线位置的大的震荡行情仍延续中, 大观点上继续保持酝酿筑大底观点不变前提下,对油脂商品的短线走势先略微看淡一些,同时减少频繁短线操作,后市密切关注美盘豆油日图60天线上方运行?还是要回到60天线下方运行?个人观点认为前期接盘多单继续持有,美豆油短线若下破60天线,部分多单可先减仓出局。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.


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