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Global Markets Analysis – 23 December 2015

A commentary written by Tony Tong


23.12.2015 周三 油脂商品今日阴K走弱 但不改短线反弹上行态势

美国金融市场临近圣诞节假期,市场交易人气有所不足略显清淡。美盘豆油3月合约,昨日周二晚间期价略有走低,但在下方均线系统的支撑作用下,期价下滑不会太多,反身之后的反弹上行未被改变,继续短多看待后市短线走势。

中国大陆为迎接圣诞节、元旦和春节,各大商场和超市节前备货积极筹备中,油脂类商品的需求量有望增加。大陆内盘油脂商品豆油和棕榈油1605合约,本周近几日期价整体略有走强,短线的反弹转身上行走势明显,虽然今天周三盘中出现小阴K线整理,在连续3天上涨之后出现该走势为正常现象,不必焦虑,后市反弹上行仍动能充沛,今天期价的下滑恰好是短线交易者手中多单量不足而逢低补仓的机会。

马盘毛棕榈油基准3月,在连续3天红盘反身上行之后,截止到周三盘中下午2点,今天继续红盘表现,短线反弹走高迹象明显,继续短多观点等待突破上方2500整数关口的技术阻挡。

小结:中国大陆市场春节临近,消费量预期增加,全球各国生物燃油参混率的提高, 厄尔尼诺现象爆发的可能。这些因素均是我们中长线角度对全球油脂类商品看多的主要原因。仅仅是在短线波段角度的具体节奏方面和短线期价运行轨迹上,我们需要更多的保持在节奏操作上的同步性,这是我们短线角度需要引起更多关注的。后市短线继续短多观点对待当前全球油脂商品。 个人观点是:中长线多单继续持有,前几日平空反手的短线新进多单继续持有。关注后市对前高的冲刺走势。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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