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Global Markets Analysis – 23 February 2016

A commentary written by Tony Tong


23.02.2016 周二 马盘棕榈油率先下坠;油脂商品短线多单平仓出场

美盘豆油5月合约,昨日周一晚间小阳K线,期价依旧没有大的变化,对前高32.30一线的阻挡始终不能突破。古话云:久盘必跌,我们内心的担忧越来越强烈。 期价隐隐有种下破10日均线31.70的可能,对美豆油我们继续保持谨慎心态对待。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1605主力合约,昨天周一盘中中阳K线表现,前期的短线反弹行情尚在延续中。但今天周二盘中却低开低走呈小阴K线,短线盘面上出现不利走势,特别是豆油1605合约,近几天一直盘面走软,建议豆油短线多单减仓。棕榈油1605合约虽然走势略强,但若今天阴K线继续变大,则也要考虑止盈出场。

马盘毛棕榈油基准5月,前几日一直横盘震荡运行,期价不上不下横盘,昨日周一盘中率先下坠走势,今天周二早盘又出现跳空低开,从持仓量观察-昨日增仓下跌为空头进场打压,今天未减仓下跌为多头出逃。鉴于马盘棕榈的这种盘面走势,后市的短线回落调整不可避免。建议短线多单可止损和止盈平仓了结。

小结:马盘毛棕榈油昨日周一盘中率先下坠走弱,今天内盘油脂商品也出现较疲软迹象,虽然美盘豆油尚未给出明确指引,但前几日报告中,相信大家从文字中已经隐隐感觉到我们对盘面的担忧。鉴于今天马盘与内盘油脂商品的短线走势,观点认为:内盘与马盘油脂商品上短线的多单平仓出局,提前规避不利风险,短线激进操作者可适量反手空单进场,后市密切关注美盘豆油明天的后续表现。中长线交易者手中多单暂时谨慎持有,若明天再出现不利情况,可止盈出局,带回落过后再低位接回-等待美豆油后市短线更为明确的指引。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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