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Global Markets Analysis – 23 January 2015

A commentary written by Tony Tong


23.01.2015 周五 美豆油挑战下沿位置支撑效果

美盘豆油临近日K图表上平台箱体下沿一线(32.00-31.00),月K线图表临近长期上升趋势线(31.00-30.00)位置,短线和长线角度的双重支撑应该力度较强,即便短线瞬间下破,下方的空间也不应该很大,逢低空单平仓离场应为上策。

在美盘豆油3月考验箱体下沿支撑效果时候,大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油主力合约1505,今天周五早盘抵抗性下挫,盘中交投较为谨慎,期价未出现大的波动。

马盘毛棕榈油基准4月合约,近几日期价回落幅度较大,当前期价已经回落到下方60天均线处,前期我们关注的3月合约图表较多,(从2014年12月17日开始的反弹上行到 2015年1月15日的冲高回落),当前期价已经回落了50%一线,虽然回落整理尚未出现明显结束信号,但在60天线附近,短线空单越下跌越要逢低离场,谨防美豆油像前期一样再箱体下沿附近再上攻。

小结:美豆油短线走势成为当前全球油脂类商品的风向标,在美豆油靠近箱体下沿平台位置,大陆内盘和马盘油脂商品短线空单逢低离场。后市短线继续观察美豆油的短线表现,待美豆油止跌企稳,个人觉得短、中、长线多单可时刻准备下方接盘。让我们期待下周这个进场机会。目前未明显信号前,建议稳健者可先观望。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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