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Global Markets Analysis – 23 January 2017

A commentary written by Tony Tong


23.01.2017 周一 临近春节传统假期 内盘金融市场本周最后一个交易周

中新网1月20日电,美国当地时间1月20日中午12点(也就是北京时间1月21日凌晨1点),美国第四十五任总统特朗普宣誓就职。全球金融人士关注焦点—美国新总统的就任后,特朗普罕见的经济政策方针对美国经济以及对全球经济的影响程度如何?我们既要关注特朗普说什么,更要关注特朗普做什么,这以后是我们评价考量全球经济发展的关键点。对当前我们关心的美盘油脂类商品来说,美大豆强力反弹延续中,美豆油3月一根长上影线暴漏出疲软–美盘没有春节假期的,在内盘马盘长假期停盘前的最后几个交易日–我们不再密切关注美盘油脂商品的具体短线走势,待假期回来后再从新研判操作。

大陆内盘油脂商品,马盘棕榈油–当前短线期价仍在较高位置小幅波动震荡,今天周一盘面上交投不旺,市场观望情绪开始浓厚起来,临近长假期的这最后几个交易日,市场主力恐将维持减仓操作局面。在上周内,我们就早早提出建议:散户朋友开始准备多单逢高减持的操作策略,谨防市场不利变动带给我们不必要的损失,相信大家在上周已经思想上有了充分准备,并且严格执行了操作计划。

小结:今天周一,内盘马盘油脂类商品短线走势模糊而无新意,期价呈现小幅走低的无序窄幅波动,我们本周不在严格考虑分析内盘马盘的短线走势情况—因为我们相信,在上周报告中多次建议逢高减持多单,其多单平仓的平均价格要远高于当前,散户朋友在多单了结结束后,在这最后的几天的交易日内可场外观望,不建议进场盲目操作。一切事情等假期回来后,我们再从新拟定新的操作计划。

[SUMMARY]
• China and Malaysia edible oils lack direction on Monday, trading within a tight range.
• This week, we shall not stringently analyze the short-term performance of China and Malaysia markets.
• As in the previous week, we reiterate our outlook of gradually closing-out out long positions as we approach the start of the Chinese New Year holildays.
• We shall remain uncommitted until after the holidays.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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