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Global Markets Analysis – 23 June 2015

A commentary written by Tony Tong


23.06.2015周二 美盘豆油回落整理到60天均线处;
内盘与马盘略微差一点点火候

内盘节假期间,美黄豆连出现大幅上涨,交易商称,美国大豆当前正处于播种期, 播种进度低于5年平均值。因降雨过多,美国部分地区的播种已经错过最佳播种期,后期若弃种或播种晚播大豆都会对大豆产量产生不利影响。因播种放缓、大豆种植面积减少、大豆生长优良率下滑等因素提振美盘黄豆期价出现走强。

美盘豆油12月合约,上周五以及昨天周一,期价同样出现红盘中阳上涨,技术观察,美盘豆油技术图表上表现最为清晰,前期短线的回落恰好下挫到下方的60天均线处出现止跌企稳,若该位置出现我们预测的强支撑,则后市短线走势恐将扭转向上。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1601主力合约今天节后开盘,早盘盘中表现为高开低走,由于内盘交易短美盘一天,期价尚未完全整理到下方的60天线强支撑位,但建议操作思路仍在靠近下方位置时候,短线空单时刻准备平仓离场观点。

马盘毛棕榈油基准9月合约,昨日周一中阴下跌,期价临近下方40天均线位置,短线角度的回落整理行情仍延续中,在日图表上,均线系统多头排列,短线的期价回落到底回抽确认下方那根均线(40天或 60天?)尚不能完全确定,但越靠近下方,越要时刻准备短线空单准备离场观点保持不变。

小结:美盘豆油期价回抽到下方60天均线处,内盘与马盘油脂商品还稍微差一点点火候,但整体的短线回落整理已经接近尾声阶段,个人观点认为保持逢低空单离场操作思路不变,下方的空间正逐渐被收窄,不可再盲目看空很多,操作思路与上周末保持延续性观点。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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