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Global Markets Analysis – 23 June 2017

A commentary written by Tony Tong


23.06.2017 周五 美豆油4连阴下挫 内盘 马盘追随性抵抗下滑

美盘豆油12月合约,在本周一前高位置冲高受阻后,已经4连阴期价下挫,特别是周二的长阴下跌,迅速而凶残,直接宣布前期的反弹结束。当前期价快速下挫之后,杀跌动能会有所减弱,估计在下周初时候,盘面上会出现抵抗态势,我们不建议猛烈追空,暂时关注一下下方空间的大小。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油棕榈油1709主力合约,由于内盘豆油前期反弹高度尚未达到前高位置,因此上本波下挫的幅度也会相对的小一些。棕榈油由于也是半途反弹夭折,当前呈现出追随态势(内盘油脂是晚一天才开始下滑,周一时候还是阳K线上涨表现),继续关注下周表现。

马盘棕榈油今日周五停盘,我个人尚不明确今天是马来西亚什么假期(难道是开斋节?)马盘毛棕榈油基准9月,本周一冲高回落带上影线阴K线收盘,周二中阴继续下跌(宣告反弹结束),周三 周四2日低开的小阳K线表现—–马盘棕榈油率先出现盘中的多头抵抗行为,估计在下周初仍呈现抵抗态势。

小结:美盘豆油最近几天短线急挫,带动内盘 马盘油脂商品期价走低,短线的下挫整理行情还将延续一段时间,我们下周继续关注下方回落空间大小,不建议盲目追空或进多操作,无仓单的散户朋友暂时场外观望,下周初期价走势会更加反复(存在多头抵抗可能)。 当前基本面消息匮乏,技术面多空主力操盘又过于急躁,此时刻散户朋友保持一份平和心态最为重要。

[SUMMARY]
• China and Malaysia edible oils are dragged by the decline of US soybean oil.
• The downward correction is expected to continue for some time.
• We shall focus on the extent of the decline.

[ACTION]
• Traders may stay on the sidelines at the moment.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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