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Global Markets Analysis – 23 May 2017

A commentary written by Tony Tong


23.05.2017 周二 无仓稳健型交易者场外观望

美盘豆油7月合约均线系统右侧延伸,早先的空头排列状态逐渐趋于粘合状态,期价变化不大—-正如我们前期所料,美豆油是以“时间换取空间”来改变原先的中线回落走势,当前的均线系统正悄悄往多头排列状态转换,当前短线走势恐将延续一段时间(不排除还有发力动作发生)。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油棕榈油1709主力合约,紧密追随美盘豆油走势,一举一动恰如美盘影子,多空主力偃旗息鼓,期价短线反弹之后盘面走势上无新意,处于模棱两可模糊状态,建议场外观望。

马盘毛棕榈油基准8月,前期反弹上扬走势凌厉,期价短短时间已经涨幅不小,也正如我们前面报告中所料:马棕榈是以“空间换取时间”,期价通过快速拔高而带动均线金叉上穿。昨天周一盘面上期价跳空高开收阴,上扬力度也出现“力衰”迹象,谨防马棕榈短线上冲回落走势。

小结:油脂类商品短线反弹之后,期价处于不同高度,三地油脂商品短线走势略有分化,在目前阶段我们建议散户朋友平仓兑现了结出场观望,模糊时期不必纠结其中。实在忍不住的激进型交易者可今日短空交易,但日内一定平仓了结见好就收。

[SUMMARY]
• Edible oils in US, China and Malaysia show divergence after a short-term rebound.

[ACTION]
• Traders who have closed-out positions may remain uncommitted for the time being.
• Aggressive traders may go short but are advised to square-off position by day-end.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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