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Global Markets Analysis – 23 November 2015

A commentary written by Tony Tong


23.11.2015 周一 油脂类商品短多蠢蠢欲动

上周五晚间美盘豆油1月合约,期价红盘震荡上涨,短线重心有所上移,期价不经意间站于60天均线之上,虽然当前短线上涨幅度还不是很大,但下挫无力之后,后市期价的运行必定选择向上,个人短线对美盘豆油保持短多观点。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1605主力合约,上周五的带下影线的阳K线,令短线走势豁然开朗,特别是豆油1605主力合约,该品种上周五的带下影线的中阳K线,存在“金针探底”的雏形,今天周一早盘期价延续上周五涨势,短线的走强蠢蠢欲动,本周初后市一旦突破上方均线的压制后,期价存在继续走高迹象。

马盘毛棕榈油基准2月,当前持仓5万余手,期价在前几日回落整理时候始终在60天均线的支撑下运行,未跌破该技术支撑。今天周一早盘小幅跳空高开,追随美盘与内盘油脂走高,相信在美盘和内盘后市继续走高带动下,马盘棕榈存在止跌企稳机会。

小结:全球油脂商品短线出现反弹上行欲望,期价在小幅走高中多头人气必将被凝聚,我们短线角度对当前油脂商品转为短多看待。观点认为:前期多单持有者继续持有,无仓观望操作者可适量短线多单进场埋伏,带后市长阳出现时候可适量再补仓,后市油脂商品存在反弹上行机会。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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