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Global Markets Analysis – 24 January 2017

A commentary written by Tony Tong

24.01.2017 周二 特朗普宣誓就职美国总统后 签署第一份总统令

美国总统特朗普23日周一签署行政命令,正式宣布美国退出跨太平洋伙伴关系协定(TPP)。从这第一份总统令来看,特朗普倒是在竞选时候提出的承诺实现了。TPP—-是指 跨太平洋伙伴关系协定,其中有12个成员国,包括美国、日本、澳大利亚、加拿大等等。特朗普新政府签署这一行政命令标志着美国贸易政策进入新的时期(由大型区域贸易,多边贸易转为一对一的双边贸易),市场金融分析人士普遍认为这是“贸易保护主义抬头风险将威胁全球经济增长”,对此观点我们将会后续关注。

中国传统节日“春节”临近,中国大陆将于1月27日—2月2日休假(假期7天),也就是说大陆内盘金融市场本周只有最后3个交易日了。在这最后三天里,我们不再研判 美盘豆油,马盘棕榈油,内盘油脂等等品种的短线走势情况,在前期我们多次建议多单逢高离场,就是为规避这个长假期所带来的不可控系统风险—我们永远把风险控制摆在第一位(而盈利目的仅仅是第二位),这是多年来“带血”的经验教训总结(外盘正常交易,内盘停盘,市场的波动,干瞪眼却无法交易,风险极大)。总之一句话—已经在假期前平仓了结完成的朋友—-场外观望,不建议持仓过节。

• With 3 more days before the start of the Lunar New Year holidays, which run from 27 Jan to 2 Feb in China, we shall refrain from analyzing the short-term trend of US, Malaysia and China edible oils.
• We reiterate our suggestion to close-out long position when prices are high, to avoid any systemic that may arise over the holidays.
• Risk management remains our number one priority.

• Traders who have closed-out their position may remain uncommitted until after the holidays.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.


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