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Global Markets Analysis – 24 June 2015

A commentary written by Tony Tong


24.06.2015 周三 执行上周五操作计划 本周初的2天空单离场

美盘豆油12月合约,期价在回落到下方60天均线附近后,已经达到我们早先预测的短线下挫整理的第一目标,回抽均线的过程初步完成,在短线止跌企稳后,后市短线存在再次向上反弹的要求,虽然还没明显发生,但心理上这点要引起我们的注意。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1601主力合约,昨日高开低走,今天周三低开高走,短线同样出现止跌的出步迹象,虽然没像美盘豆油整理的那样充分(离60天均线一点点),但个人认为已经不能再下看空很多,本次的回落整理接近尾声。

马盘毛棕榈油基准9月,本周的周一周二2日,连续2天高开低走期价走软,期价收到下方40天线支撑,两根并列的阴K线形成了“强调”K线组合术语,但今天周三盘面,期价并未再延续走低,反而是高开高走,短线角度回落整理结束信号出现苗头,建议对此保持警惕。

小结:美盘豆油调整基本到位,内盘与马盘略欠缺点火候,但个人依旧主要以美盘豆油的具体走势作为风向标,内盘与马盘的跟随动作明显。考虑到美盘整理较为充分,因此认为执行上周五时候就建议的在对应的内盘与马盘油脂商品上本周初的前几天找低点逢低空单止盈平仓了结的操作模式。从今天开始,前期的短线操作者空单离场后,建议暂场外观望和继续等待盘面给出短线反手做多机会。中长线操作者空单离场开锁后,可适当反手加仓部分多单,量不必太大,略微摊低一下多单持仓成本即可。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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