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Global Markets Analysis – 24 June 2016

A commentary written by Tony Tong


24.06.2016 周五 全球瞩目的英国脱欧公投事件,令金融市场动荡不安

全球金融市场投资人士均将目光盯在英国的这次脱欧公投事件上来,金融市场一片恐慌—–特别是外汇市场的英镑兑美元巨幅暴跌,一根长阴日K线多年来未曾见过 ,触目惊心。资本市场的嗜血性再次给全球投资人士血淋淋上了一课。

美元指数红盘长阳上涨同时,欧元也大幅下跌。对全球期货市场来说,仅有黄金因其避险功能而大受追捧长阳飙涨,以美盘原油为代表的大宗商品包括日本橡胶、伦敦铜和锌今日周五盘中均有不同程度下跌。

对我们更为关心的油脂类商品来说—-此刻亚洲电子盘的美豆油也阴K线下跌,短线的回落下挫整理仍在进行中。大陆内盘油脂商品豆油和 棕榈油1609合约仍追随美盘豆油短线回落走势而上下波动震荡,下挫整理态势尚未完结。马盘毛棕榈油基准9月,昨日周四盘中十字星表现,今天周五盘面又十字星走势,短线超跌整理之后略微出现了些许止跌迹象, 我们继续以短空思路对待—–但在盘中出现急挫时候,散户朋友仍以逢低短空平仓离场思路操作为上策。

小结: 英国脱欧公投事件结果未出炉前,全球金融市场大幅波动震荡,脱离欧盟也好;留在欧盟也罢——这对中国金融市场整体影响较小,在中国证券市场、期货市场和外汇市场大可不必惊慌,结果一出事态自然会变得明晰,巨幅震荡和恐慌情绪也会很快随时间过去。对油脂类商品来说,此次事件也影响有限,我们继续保持前期短空思维对待,空单谨慎持有,逢低平仓了结仍是我们离场前的提前心理准备。继续关注美盘豆油后市下挫整理的空间幅度为主要任务。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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