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Global Markets Analysis – 24 March 2015

A commentary written by Tony Tong


24.03.2015 周二 油脂商品反弹欲望尚存 但反弹动能略显不足

美元指数短线继续回落整理,贵金属如黄金与白银低位反弹走势盘中表现明显, 贵金属与有色金属类商品继续以反弹观点短线看待。

美盘豆油5月合约,短线低位拐点形态明显,但反弹上行力度表现较弱,盘中受南美新豆收割上市压力明显,期价反弹动能不强,但继续回落的下方空间也被封杀,当前美豆油处于上下两难境界中震荡。

大陆内盘豆油与棕榈油1509主力合约,周二早盘高开高走,盘中曾一度出现两阳夹一阴后的”冲天炮“走势,但受美豆油周二亚洲电子盘小阴K线影响,形成冲高回落带上影线的十字星K线,表明当前的短线反弹上方还存在一定的压力。

马盘毛棕榈油基准6月为当前主力合约,期价短线呈阴阳K线横盘状态,短线走势不明朗,印尼政府将对零关税棕榈油从3月30日起征收50美元/吨费用。马来西亚3月份前20天出口数据不振,马来西亚汇率的走强也限制了棕榈油的上涨动能。

小结:期货市场当前仅黄金、白银、铜、锌等金属类商品短线走强迹象明显。其他各类商品表现一般。其中油脂类商品豆油与棕榈油有技术上冲欲望,但无反弹上行动能,市场表现较为犹豫而谨慎,短线的反弹效果不明显。观点上认为继续保持双重底形态走势观点不变,在技术未走坏前建议操作前期低位接盘多单继续谨慎持有,以静制动心态关注后市油脂商品的走势。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 










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