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Global Markets Analysis – 24 March 2017

A commentary written by Tony Tong


24.03.2017 周五 马盘棕榈油冲击前高未果

美盘豆油5月合约,昨日周四晚间期价冲高回落留上影线,终盘以阴K线收盘—-短线走势在我们预料当中。连续几天阳K线后,观察昨日晚间阴K线的下跌幅度,尚在我们心理承受范围内。那今日周五晚间的盘面表现就相当关键了,如果后市短线要继续保持反弹上行走势,则今日美盘豆油5月合约,期价必须收复部分失地,并且在下周一时候期价仍能继续走高,则短线反弹上行才得以延续—–我们继续关注美盘豆油的具体走向。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油棕榈油1709主力合约,在内盘其他各类大宗商品普遍下跌的心理影响下,内盘油脂商品上压力重重,多头信心有所涣散,期价下挫幅度增大,我们继续等待美豆油的具体指引。

马盘毛棕榈油基准6月,在周三 周四2日冲击前高未果—-期价收盘时刻始终站不到前高之上,再由于内盘油脂的心理拖累,短线也出现期价下跌,今天周五盘面上十字星表现,市场成交清淡,在美盘豆油方向不明朗时候,马盘多空主力观望情绪较浓。

小结:内盘油脂商品短线走势疲软,美盘豆油方向指引作用不清晰,这给马盘棕榈油也带来不利影响。我们内心的谨慎情绪又开始浓厚起来。密切关注美盘豆油随后2天的走势表现。操作上:多单暂时谨慎持有,等待美盘豆油的指引(万一出现”真正”的不利情况,再考虑止损动作)。

[SUMMARY]
• China edible oils show short-term fatigue and direction of US soybean oil remains unclear, dragging Malaysia palm oil.
• We shall raise the level of caution, with close attention paid to the performance of US soybean oil in the next two days.

[ACTION]
• Traders may retain long positions until clear signals emerge out of US soybean oil.
• Traders should be prepared to cut losses in adverse situations.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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