Share

Tweet this

Dealing Desk Hotline

(603)-2181 8848

Global Markets Analysis – 24 May 2017

A commentary written by Tony Tong


24.05.2017 周三 马盘棕榈油“黄昏之星”K线组合初步成立

美盘豆油7月合约,昨日周二晚间,美豆油期价中阴K线下跌,今天亚洲电子早盘继续阴K线表现,美豆油短线疲软态势明显,早期报告中我们已经警示过该走势的可能,这里不再重复复述。当前短线我们以短线回落整理观点对待美盘豆油(回落空间有待观察)。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油棕榈油1709主力合约,昨日盘中阴K线下跌表现(右侧横盘状态 尚不足为惧),但今天周三盘面,期价低开低走再下一个台阶,这就要引起我们的警惕了—–当前期反弹上行达到一定高度之后的任何盘中风吹草动的异常表现,都要引起我们的注意,更何况我们心中早有提前的不利心理预期,内盘豆油短空观点对待。

马盘毛棕榈油基准8月,5月22日周一跳空高开创盘中新高小阴收盘(反弹延续也不足为惧),但昨日的的中阴下跌,令盘面瞬间发生新变化——“下坠”的冲高回落迹象开始显露,其实我们仔细观察本波反弹行情,在4.19日是一颗“早晨之星”酝酿反弹拐点开始的, 而在5.22日的“黄昏之星”恐将反弹结束(当然这一结论尚待随后几天走势的观察验证),今日马盘棕榈期价将在昨日中阴K线右下角出现反复,不排除多头主力的护盘动作,但短线下挫走势恐将不可避免,马棕榈油今天不建议散户朋友进场交易。

小结:美盘豆油反弹上行后期持续疲软(拔高力度不够),内盘油脂商品又率先出现下挫,马盘棕榈油快速而凌厉拔高之后盘面上也出现了“黄昏之星”嫌疑,我们上周报告中所做的预警走势(对后市短线走势所描述的价格轨迹分析)正成为现实,不出意外的话,油脂类商品反弹之后的短线“回落整理”行情恐将展开,今天盘中仔细观察验证,不建议新交易。

[SUMMARY]
• US soybean oil shows sign of fatigue after a rebound, while China edible oils decline and technical “evening star” pattern emerges on Malaysia palm oil.
• A short-term downward correction after the rebound is starting to materialize.

[ACTION]
• Traders may stay on the sidelines and observe the market.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

Subscribe to OPF Blog via Feed Reader or Email
 

DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






Share and Enjoy:
[del.icio.us] [Digg] [Facebook] [Google] [Mixx] [MySpace] [Twitter] [Windows Live] [Yahoo!] [Email]

Post a Comment

Displayed next to your comments.

Not displayed publicly

If you have a website, link ti it here

PLEASE NOTE:

OPF reserves the right to delete comments that are snarky, offensive, or off-topic. If in doubt, read our Comments Policy.


SiteLock