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Global Markets Analysis – 24 November 2016

A commentary written by Tony Tong


24.11.2016 周四 美盘豆油昨日晚间长阳飙涨;提振内盘与马盘油脂商品短线走势

在感恩节前夜,美盘豆油1月合约长阳飙涨,创多年来最大单日涨幅(涨幅达到6.61% 或2.30)。美盘黄豆连昨日期价也站于1031美分之上,收盘于1035-受美国环保部门发布2017年度使用可再生燃料油的目标,生物柴油课题目标又摆在投资人心理层面(豆油是生物柴油最佳的原材料),这也是美国在感恩节前夜长阳飙涨的主要原因。今天11月24日是美国传统节日“感恩节”,美盘将停盘一天。

受美盘豆油长阳飙涨提振,今天周四早盘,大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1701主力合约,双双红盘大幅上涨,单日涨幅也在3-4%之间,我们本周初的接盘多单终于得到回报,我们多单继续持有,短多观点不变。

马盘毛棕榈油基准2月,昨日跳空高开期价震荡走高,终盘红盘报收。在美盘与内盘周边外围油脂商品市场普遍走高带动下,相信马盘毛棕榈油今天周四盘中也会有不俗的表现,马盘毛棕榈油主升第三大浪延续中,我们继续看高一线(依然不做高点预测),多单乐观持有。

小结:美盘豆油终于大力支持了内盘与马盘的盘面表现,昨日晚间的一根长阴巨型K线,瞬间令整体油脂商品短线反弹上行走势瞬间明朗化,我们继续保持本周初的短多思维不变。观点认为操作上:前几日接盘多单乐观持有,继续看高一线。

[SUMMARY]
• US soybean oil finally provided support to China and Malaysia markets.
• Technical indicators boosted optimism in the short-term.
• We maintain our outlook of short-term long position.

[ACTION]
• Traders may maintain long positions initiated in the last few days, with a bullish view.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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