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Global Markets Analysis – 24 October 2017

A commentary written by Tony Tong


24.10.2017 周二 美盘豆油继续测试关键技术位的阻挡?突破?

美盘豆油12月合约,昨日周一晚间期价延续前期反弹上行走势,红盘上涨表现,当天收盘价已经上破了原来被下破的上升趋势线与60天均线的阻挡,是否完全突破成功,一天时间尚不能给出明确答案,今天晚间美豆油将继续会考验该位置的市场表现。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油棕榈油1801主力合约,昨日周一期价小幅上涨,今天周二盘面期价继续“补涨”,盘面上仍旧是棕榈油略强于豆油走势,我们继续保持逢高多单减仓操作。

马盘毛棕榈油基准1月(12月),昨日周一盘面中阳红盘上涨,期价创出近期新高,今天周二盘中又继续红盘表现,同样建议马盘前期多单逐步逢高减仓。

小结:美盘豆油低位拐点之后的反弹上行修复走势延续中,内盘马盘油脂商品出现小幅补涨动作。考虑到美盘豆油在关键技术位走势上的“不确定性”,我们继续延续昨日的操作计划:多单分批量继续逢高减仓兑现出局。先落袋为安一部分利润。同时密切关注美盘豆油在关键位置的后续表现,不被美豆油一时的惯性上冲力量所蒙蔽双眼。

[SUMMARY]
• US soybean oil continues its uptrend after rebounding in the previous session.
• China and Malaysia edible oils began to move upward.
• Traders may pay close attention to the movement and position of US soybean oil.
• Our short-term long outlook remain as the market is expected to move upward.

[ACTION]
• Traders in China and Malaysia market may initiate/average long positions but prepare to close positions when the prices are high.
• Traders in US market may prepare to close positions when the price are high.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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