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Global Markets Analysis – 25 August 2014

A commentary written by Tony Tong

8.25 周一 传闻大马贸易商采购棕榈油合同违约

近期马来西亚毛棕榈油期价急速下跌,已经跌至5年来的低位,市场悲观情绪蔓延(当前基本面情况真有2008和2009年那么糟糕?)2000令吉特以下的价格吓退贸易商,贸易商宁可赔偿采购合同违约金,也不愿意按照合同购买高价位棕榈油,这令马盘期货市场对毛棕榈油出口预期再次担忧加剧,马盘毛棕榈油基准11月,今天周一早盘期价肆无忌惮狂跌,市场一边倒迹象明显。前期我们提到过,马盘毛棕榈油跌破前低后短线下方已经找不到技术上的具体支撑位,虽心理上早有此预期,但下跌幅度之大还是超乎了我们想象, 马盘期货市场达到不计成本下跌的疯狂阶段。



This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.


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