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Global Markets Analysis – 25 August 2016

A commentary written by Tony Tong


25.08.2016 周四 美盘豆油短线的回落整理走势开始清晰

美盘豆油12月合约,昨日周三晚间期价中阴下跌,今天亚洲电子早盘又阴K线表现,期价下破10日均线支撑,短线的回落整理开始清晰起来,我们继续保持短线角度的回落整理观点不变,仍然密切关注反弹之后的回抽确认的下滑空间幅度。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1701主力合约,昨日周三盘中,内盘油脂商品高开高走多头进行护盘,但在技术超买之后,在连续多日反弹上行动能衰竭后,期价合理空间的下挫整理是必然的,盘中任何的期价反复只能说明本波的回落整理为强势整理,但依然阻止不了短线下蹲走势行情,我们继续保持短空思维观点不变。

马盘毛棕榈油基准11月,昨日周三盘面高开带上影线小阳表现,表明上方仍然有一定的压力,虽然马盘当前基本面情况较为乐观,但技术超买之后的回落整理态势仍会延续,在美原油、美豆油、内盘油脂等周边外围市场期价下挫影响下,今天马盘棕榈恐将继续期价走低,我们继续保持回落整理观点对待。

小结:美盘豆油期价下挫开始清晰起来,短线的回落整理走势将逐渐拉开序幕,我们前期逢高多单平仓了结仍为明智之举-任何短线的不利危险情况出现,都是需要我们散户交易者尽量规避的,特别是激进敏感型短线交易者。后市短线上继续回落整理观点保持不变。观点认为具体操作上:中线交易者可多单持有,短线交易者多单离场后场外观望,其中部分激进型短线交易者可日内反手短空操作,并且一定要日内平仓,有利就跑,不可过贪,坚决执行不持仓过夜原则。毕竟我们的后市短线最终目标-是等待回落整理结束之后,当出现一个相对低点时候多单逢低进场这么个机会,因此上我们的短线操作节奏一定要把握好(沿期价的市场运行轨迹操作)。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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