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Global Markets Analysis – 25 August 2017

A commentary written by Tony Tong





小结—–有消息称:美国将借助《1974年贸易法》第301条款,针对中国开展贸易战,此次指控的理由是“中国涉嫌违反美国知识产权和强制美国企业进行技术转让”。美国总统特朗普上任以来一直强调推行的贸易保护主义情绪再次抬头,我们金融市场分析人士要密切关注“中美之间贸易战”的影响程度,特别是美国农业产品中对华出口的商品(大概150亿美元贸易额度,为顺差,大豆豆油包括在内)。更有小道消息称,贸易战恐将在本周末晚些时候开始爆发。我们表示对此基本面情况发生变化的重点关注。具体操作上:短线多单暂时继续持有,而从下周开始 ,我们要做好多单逢高平仓出局的心理准备(越出现加速急涨,越一点点多单逢高派发),莫要被瞬间的不利情况把利润化为乌有(宁肯少赚,不能亏损)。

• US threatens China trade with intellectual property probe.
• Trump’s “America First” rhetoric continues concern financial markets participants, given the extensive trade relations between the two countries, especially in agricultural commodities such as soybean and soybean oil.
• There is fear that a trade war may erupt soon.

• Traders may retain short-term long positions and prepare to close-out those positions in the event prices rise drastically next week.
• It is more important to secure current profits than to aim for larger ones at the moment.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.


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