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Global Markets Analysis – 25 February 2015

A commentary written by Tony Tong


25.02.2015 周三 大陆内盘春节假期后开盘交易

今天2月25日周三,国内金融市场传统假期过后今天首次迎来开盘交易。在内盘7天假期期间,美盘豆油出现5个交易日的短暂下挫,期价从上方60天线阻挡位置有所滑落,短线出现小幅调整走势,原箱体下沿与60天线双重位置合一(均在32.00左 右),对当前美盘豆油市场存在一定的技术阻挡,美盘豆油主力5月合约,在内盘7天停盘期间未能明确给出突破信号。

美原油市场在内盘假期期间同样出现小幅走低,期价围绕50.00整数关震荡,日图表上空头排列的均线系统60 天线仍为主要技术阻挡,当前均线有所粘合,建议后市密切关注美原油市场在均线位置的短线表现。

大陆内盘豆油与棕榈油1505合约,周三早盘顺势跟随美盘豆油低开低走,消化吸收美盘几天来的短暂期价走低,内盘豆油与棕榈油1505合约今天早盘期价一度快速下探,后在买盘逢低接盘下期价逐渐走高,截止到上午9点50 分以带长下影线的阴K线运行。

马来西亚在中国内盘传统节日停盘期间也存在假期,但假期时间比中国稍短几天,本周23和24日提前开盘交易,对美盘纽约原油与美盘豆油的短线期价下滑已经提前吸收消化,马盘毛棕榈油基准5月合约,从前高2330(1月中旬位置)跌落到2250位置,今天周三开盘后恐仍在这一线震荡。

小结:在内盘和马盘在假期期间,美盘原油与豆油均有一定程度的期价下滑,美盘60天均线的短线技术阻挡较为明显。今天内盘开盘后消化吸收因假期期间停盘全球油脂商品所带来的期价波动。建议短线观察油脂类商品走势,存在一定的回落调整走势要求,在重要技术阻挡位前主动回落而积蓄能量动作明显。个人观点认为短线上存在调整要求,前期低位接盘多单若假期前逢高减仓出局者场外观望可暂时不急于进场。仍然持有低位接盘多单操作者设置好个人止损位,多单继续持有。建议后市继续观察美盘豆油和美盘原油的短线表现。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 










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