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Global Markets Analysis – 25 January 2016

A commentary written by Tony Tong


25.01.2016 周一 国际原油价格上涨;带动全球油脂类商品普遍走高

上周五晚间,国际原油市场报复性反弹,其中纽约原油市场周四与周五2日内期价暴涨13%左右。美原油连短线上已经形成超跌之后的2根错列上行的K线走势。后市仍存在反弹上行的技术要求,短线角度对国际原油持短多思维。在国际原油普遍走高带动下,全球大部分国家股票市场均有不同程度的上涨。日经指数、纳斯达克指数、道琼斯指数、标准普尔500指数均大幅跳空高开上行,短线金融市场的做多人气被调动起来,后市短线角度短多观点对待。

期货市场油脂类商品中,美盘豆油3月合约,上周五晚间也追随美原油市场而上涨,终盘以光头光脚的中阳K线收盘,期价已经上破日K线图表上方的所有均线,美豆油短线仍以短多观点对待。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1605主力合约,上周末时候就红盘小幅走高,今天周一早盘,小幅高开整理,由于美盘豆油3月合约今天的亚洲电子盘表现稍弱 以及马盘停盘,大陆内盘油脂商品上午表现不尽如意,但我们继续保持短多观点不变。

马盘毛棕榈油基准4月,上周四破位下跌之后,做了个小的空头陷阱,在周五时候又跳空高开上行,今天周一为马来西亚公共假期大宝森节补休而停牌一天,今天未交易。

小结:国际原油市场报复性上涨,全球投资人士的做多热情得以凝聚,超跌之后的技术性反弹要求强烈。我们短线对油脂类商品继续保持短多观点看待。观点认为具体操作上:中长线原老多单继续持有,短线新进多单谨慎持有,后市看高一线。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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