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Global Markets Analysis – 25 July 2014

A commentary written by Tony Tong


7.25 周五 少量多单进场试盘 设置好个人止损位

美盘豆油12月,短线出现止跌企稳信号,期价下破原下降通道的下轨线后,继续维持在圆圈附近(前图),并未远离太远,昨天周四期价站于5日均线之上,技术反弹出现雏形,反弹第一目标仍为原下轨线(37.50),后市是反抽确认下轨?还是再站上下轨线之上,目前不好下结论。反抽下轨不过继续看空,上破下轨线看反弹继续。

大陆内盘棕榈油1501合约,昨天周四以阳K线收盘,阳包阴吞没成立。今天周五早盘跳空高开,由于日图表上空头排列的均线层层压制,形成高开低走,但期价仍咋昨天收盘价之上运行,短线出现反弹走势苗头。内盘豆油1501合约今天早盘十字星震荡,略有止跌迹象但方向性信号仍不明显。

马盘毛棕榈油10月,7月23日(周三)下探收低后,昨天跳空高开收小阳,今天早盘继续高开,期价站于5日均线上,7月23日以来右侧向上的反弹动能出现迹象。

小结:油脂商品短线角度的止跌企稳出现苗头,技术超卖后的短线反弹出现丝许迹象,后市是否出现长阳反弹值得我们关注。个人看法是昨天建议激进操作者可少量多单进场试盘,今天继续少量多单进场。多单止损位就设置于7月23日当天低点之下X点。我个人观点是后市存在短线的反弹机会。同时由于均线的空头排列压制以及中线角度的下降趋势影响,暂且把反弹高度看底一些。此观点尚待验证。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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