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Global Markets Analysis – 25 March 2016

A commentary written by Tony Tong


25.03.2016 周五 油脂类商品抵抗性回落整理观点对待

美盘豆油5月合约,继周三中阴下跌之后,昨日周四晚间继续小阴K线下挫,期价回落到原上升通道的上边轨位置。在日图表上均线系统多头排列情况下,期价的下挫整理 为技术性修复前期反弹上行的技术超买行为,当前观察下方的回落整理空间尚不明确,但整体感觉上-我们不认为下方空间会非常大。今天是3月25日-为耶稣受难日,美国期货市场因公共假期而停盘一天,下周我们继续保持对美盘豆油的回落整理观点看待。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1609主力合约,昨日中阴下跌,期价连续2天回落均线呈现整理走势,今天在无美盘具体指引情况下,期价呈红盘上涨,期价抵抗性质的回落整理走势明显,表明本波短线角度的回落整理技术修复过程中,期价的反复会不可避免。

马盘毛棕榈油基准6月,在连续2天小阴K线回落后,今天又红盘上涨表现,盘中拒绝下跌的抵抗情绪更为浓厚,但我们中短线多单仍建议逢高平仓出局,继续把利润锁定后装入口袋, 在连续上涨之后不在该高位盲目恋战。

小结:油脂类商品呈现回落整理性质的技术修复走势,短线角度-我们暂且短空观点看待。而中长线角度我们等待回落之后的再次多单接回的思路对待。下周后市我们继续关注下方回落空间的大小?观点认为具体操作上:短线多单逢高平仓离场出局以及把前期利润兑现,入袋为安。中长线交易者适当减平仓,待后市回落整理修复接受后再多单接回。部分激进型短线交易者可少量空单进场试仓,后市仍存在技术下挫整理态势。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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