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Global Markets Analysis – 25 May 2014

A commentary written by Tony Tong


5.25周日 一波三折走势 仍建议逢低买入

美盘豆油周五晚间收盘下跌,以阴K线收盘,期价在40.00整数关存在强支撑,该价位是2014年3月31日、5月20日和21日三个低点的技术支撑位,后市美豆油只要不下破该技术支撑位,后市行情走势就有双重底的技术概率,油脂商品风向标我们就设置在该技术位,下周密切关注该位置的表现。

大陆内盘油脂商品本周走势呈现先抑后扬走势,十字星技术收盘后,有转强的迹象,但考虑到上方有均线系统层层压制,受外影响要重一些,由于美盘周五阴K报收,周一内盘豆油、棕榈油存在低开要求。

马盘毛棕榈油本周走势依然较弱,整体仍处于下蹲寻找支撑状态,反转走强迹象最为不明显,一连5天均阴K线收盘,但下行空间逐步收窄,仍存在下探后的走强技术要求。

综述:本周油脂商品走势略微出现分化,美盘、内盘油脂走强迹象较为明显,而马盘油脂商品则不明显。考虑到油脂商品的整体走势连贯性,只要美盘豆油不下破3月31日与5月21日地点连线平台,则后市走强就存在可能。我们继续保持连贯思维,逢低多单仍可进场尝试买进,已经少量进场多单把5月21日地点设置为止损位,只要不下破该点,多单持有。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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