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Global Markets Analysis – 25 May 2017

A commentary written by Tony Tong

25.05.2017 周四 内盘临近中国传统节日“端午节”休假3天 建议假期前场外观望

大陆内盘期货市场股票市场将临近中国传统节日“端午节”,内盘将于5月28日 5月29日 5月30日停盘三天, 于5月31日周三才开盘交易。 内盘豆油 棕榈油1709主力合约,明天周五还有最后一个交易日(端午节前)。 经过前2天短线下挫之后,今天内盘油脂商品期价波动不大,继续回落整理观点对待, 建议在端午节假期前后停止交易。
马盘毛棕榈油基准8月,本周马盘棕榈油演绎“过山车”行情, 在本周一创出新高之后,期价冲高回落 “掉头”下挫,下挫速度迅捷而凶猛,若不是提前预警,简直令人防不胜防。 本周连续4天的下挫整理,虽然今天周四盘面上有少许多头主力护盘迹象(小阳十字星表现),但短线角度的回落整理行情已经不可避免, 建议场外观望。
小结:全球油脂类商品前期反弹上行之后的“短线回落整理行情”演绎中,正在逐步进行我们早先所预测的“先反弹(已结束) —-然后冲高回落整理(正在进行)——低位受支撑后再度反弹”(尚未发生)。。。。当前正运行在第二阶段, 恰好正逢内盘“端午节”假期, 建议内盘手中无仓单的散户朋友暂停交易, 马盘棕榈油也建议场外观望, 场外密切关注本波回落空间的大小, 为后市在低点位置的多单进场埋伏做足准备。

• Global edible oils had rebounded but are undergoing a downward correction and are looking for a another rebound.
• We shall focus on the extent of the correction and prepare to go long at low prices.

• Traders of China and Malaysia edible oils may stay on the sidelines, ahead of the Dragon Boat Festival holidays.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.

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