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Global Markets Analysis – 25 October 2016

A commentary written by Tony Tong


25.10.2016 周二 马盘棕榈油昨日长阳飙涨,创出新高2828令吉特

美盘豆油12月,昨日周一晚间长阳上涨,终于打破5天来的横盘状态,短线的反弹上行得以延续,我们早先就预测过,第三大浪的主升浪不应该出现前几日的疲软走势,前几日的短线走势确实令人心情不愉悦,昨天的再度发力,令我们短线继续看高一线,随着后市期价的不断走高,我们要密切关注多单逢高点在内盘与马盘上的多单平仓获利出局的机会。

大陆内盘期货市场,受近期证券市场做多热情高涨提振(股票市场闲散资金买涨踊跃),内盘各类大宗商品普遍上扬发力-其中较为明显的品种包括农产品白糖震荡上行冲刺7000元每吨价格,焦炭与螺纹钢受季节性利多影响期价也呈现出震荡上行走势,橡胶化工产品也不甘落后,期价也出现不同程度上扬。有色金属板块:铜与锌今天也发力中阳上涨,其中金属锌今天周二盘中曾一度出现涨停板价格。我们最为关心的油脂类商品豆油与棕榈油1701合约,也受主力做多资金的青睐,今天周二盘中纷纷跳空高开,盘中期价再创新高,但由于部分短线多头的逢高减仓动作,造成期价略有回落,我们继续短多观点不变前提下,后市也要时刻注意逢高多单减仓的机会(进攻型主动兑现获利筹码)。

马盘毛棕榈油基准1月,昨天周一盘中,马棕榈走势可圈可点-早盘跳空高开,随后盘中高开高走,终盘期价长阳上涨报收于当天最高点2828令吉特收盘,昨日的一根长阴K线,一举吞没前几日的短线模糊下挫阴K线,瞬间令马盘棕榈的强势特征得以体现,我们早先就是马棕榈油上涨到2800-2900之间根本不成问题,后市我们继续看高一线。(但也要提前在思想上把握好逢高点-多单减仓兑现利润的机会)。

小结:全球油脂类商品投资人做多热情再度被激发,市场做多人气浓厚,我们继续保持短多思维对待,前期剩余多单继续持有,后市时刻关注逢高多单平仓的机会,继续一颗红心,两手准备的思维操作模式,既不恐慌混乱也不盲目乐观,以宁静祥和稳如泰山的心态对待市场各种变化。

[SUMMARY]
• Global edible oils go on bullish run again, with strong long interest in the market.
• We maintain our short-term long position outlook: continue holding remaining long positions.

[ACTION]
• We shall anticipate a high price to close-out positions and take profit.
• We shall remain cautiously optimistic in the face of any drastic changes in the market.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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