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Global Markets Analysis – 25 September 2017

A commentary written by Tony Tong


25.09.2017周一临近内盘国庆长假本周最后一个交易周开始考虑逢低空单减持

美盘豆油12月合约,上周五晚间小阴K线下破60天均线,短线下挫走势符合我们此前预期,今天周一亚洲电子盘期价继续下跌表现——美豆油短线角度的回落整理走势行情延续中,我们继续保持短空观点不变。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油棕榈油1801主力合约,今天周一盘面追随美盘豆油亚洲电子盘疲软走势期价中阴下跌,短线的下挫疲软态势开始明显,我们继续短空思维对待。但考虑到内盘 “国庆”“中秋节”2大节日马上临近(10月1日—8日 放假8天),本周为最后一个交易周,因此上我们还要提前考虑到“规避风险”因素,所以从本周开始逢低空单平仓离场纳入我们的操作理念当中来。

马盘毛棕榈油基准12月(或11月),在上周五9月22日因公共假期停盘一天后,今天周一开盘交易。早盘跳空低开“补跌”,期价下挫幅度较大,短线角度的回落整理行情延续中,未来后市当期价逐步靠近下方60天均线位置附近时候,我们同样建议空单逢低兑现离场操作模式。

小结:全球油脂类商品短线角度的回落整理走势延续中,期价开始出现下坠加速迹象。只因大陆内盘临近长假期,在本周剩余时间内——我们建议内盘马盘油脂商品短线空单做好逢低平仓离场的提前心理准备,每个人可以根据个人的预期盈利目标不同,自由选择平仓离场点的机会把握(包括仓单分批量平仓数量),我们只建议在本周5天交易结束时—-全部平仓完毕!以规避因长假期所带来的不确定因素影响。

[SUMMARY]
• Downtrend of global edible oils continues, as a downward correction is in the progress.
• China is having a long holiday in the upcoming week.

[ACTION]
• In China and Malaysia market, traders who are holding short positions may reduce positions when the prices are low.
• Traders may close-out all positions before end of this week.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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