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Global Markets Analysis – 26 August 2016

A commentary written by Tony Tong


26.08.2016 周五 美盘豆油昨晚暴跌;错列下行K线形成

美盘豆油12月合约,昨日周四晚间中阴K线下跌,前几天的横盘震荡走势被打破,期价错列下行整理态势开始明显起来,基本短线走势上符合我们的心理预期,短线角度我们继续短空的回落整理观点对待,后市短线继续关注回落空间的大小,耐心等待回落整理结束信号的出现。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1701主力,今天周五盘面上追随美盘走势期价走低,虽然盘中期价仍有反复(存在下影线表现),但回落整理结束信号未出现前-我们继续短空思维整理观点看待。

马盘毛棕榈油基准11月,昨日跳空低开阴十字星表现,今天低开小阳走势,期价整体也呈现出震荡走低态势,我们不被盘中任何的虚假波动震荡信号所干扰,继续回落整理观点对待,关注重点仍放在具体的回落幅度上。

小结:全球油脂类商品短线角度期价的运行轨迹下挫,反弹上行超买后的技术修复动作延续中,基本上符合我们回落整理的思维观点,后市短线继续保持该操作观点不变。观点认为具体操作上:中长线多单继续持有,短线交易者场外观望,激进型交易者日内短空操作-但空单不过夜,后市关注焦点放在下方的回落空间上来(理论上讲,回抽下方均线支撑,期价下挫幅度不应该很大,应该表现为抵抗性强势整理走势),继续耐心等待短线调整结束信号的出现(后市的回落整理还要延续一段时间)。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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