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Global Markets Analysis – 26 January 2015

A commentary written by Tony Tong


26.01.2015 周一 油脂商品短线延续下探走势

美盘豆油3月周一亚洲电子盘继续保持短线下挫,当前期价已经临近前低,是破箱体下沿还是跟以往一样瞬间下破再收起,目前尚不好下结论,今天若再收低便是5连阴,建议密切关注晚间美盘豆油的表现。

中国大陆内盘豆油1505合约,延续前期的下挫走势,日图表上空头排列的均线系统层层压制,短线走势不乐观。棕榈油1505合约,周一早盘下跌抵抗明显,更多的呈十字星下挫整理,跌幅收窄,盘中空头打压力度不强,交投较为谨慎。

马盘毛棕榈油基准4月,周一早盘期价回落到下方60天线位置略有支撑,期价波动幅度收窄,呈现十字星小阴震荡。

小结:油脂商品周一短线走势继续延续下挫态势,与我们所预期的基本相同。恐这一状态在本周初仍将维持。当前关注焦点均指向美盘豆油的表现上,美盘豆油上破箱体不成功,当前转为下破箱体,是否真正下破成功成为悬念?美盘豆油未做出明确指引,内盘和马盘则仍将继续震荡。短线上我们继续保持下探寻底观点,至于下探幅度尚待盘面指引。个人观点认为短线锁单空单继续遇急跌逢低平仓了结出局。下方准备接盘多单耐心等待。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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