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Global Markets Analysis – 26 March 2015

A commentary written by Tony Tong


26.03.2015 周四 市场人气谨慎;马盘毛棕榈油低位区间震荡

美元指数短线回落整理延续,美黄金反弹上行强劲,外汇市场欧元也从低位逐步走高。

期货市场油脂类商品近期表现一般,其中美盘豆油5月,从低位30.00一线略有走高,截止到周四盘中在31.20一线震荡,技术形态上存在双重底形态,但短线上反弹力度却不尽如人意。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1509主力合约,周四盘面依旧清淡,成交不活跃,延续震荡性追随美盘运行。

马盘毛棕榈油基准6月合约,已经连续8个交易日阴阳K线横盘小区间震荡,成交量始终不能有效放大,市场人气谨慎,盘中观望气氛较浓厚。

美原油连续图表今天周四亚洲电子盘意外出现走强中阳红盘上涨,期价从低位回归到50.00一线,图表上低位的短线双重底技术形态略有清晰。

小结:油脂类商品近期表现一般,市场陷入纠结中,多空人气始终得不到凝聚, 更多表现为场外观望。大观点上我们继续保持许久以来的震荡筑大底的漫长过程中。短线角度的低位反弹上行力度不强,期价小幅波动成为近几日的常态,此种情况下我们也只能以静制动耐心观察市场新的动态。个人观点认为停止短线频繁交易,前期低位进场接盘多单设置好止损位,持仓不动,静观后市新的变化,除此之外,别无它法。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 










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