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Global Markets Analysis – 26 May 2014

A commentary written by Tony Tong


5.26周一 马盘棕榈油下破低点

今天周一 ,美盘大豆和豆油电子盘未开,大陆油脂类商品受上周五美盘下跌影响,早盘低开呈整理状,期价未出现明显大波动,属于窄幅度小整理,5月21日左右所进多单谨慎持有。

马盘毛棕榈油周一早盘却率先出现新动作,早盘低开后,惯性下挫,形成低开低走,下破5月21日低点,再创新低,表明短线的下探整理仍未结束,这也从另一面体现出上周5连阴的疲软本质内涵。从技术上来讲2500一线应该属于强支撑,该位置在周图表上未60均线支撑位,理论上来讲下方空间不会太大。但考虑到今天早盘的下破5月21日低点,技术上存在短线走坏嫌疑,已尝试接盘多单者谨慎持有,未进多单者先场外观望一下,密切关注2500整数关的支撑作用的可靠性。

小结:美盘、内盘油脂商品整体变化不大,唯马盘毛棕榈油早盘出现下挫,下破5月21日低点后再创新低,短线技术走坏,密切关注60周均线位的支撑作用,已进多单可部分止损,也可多坚持一、半天观察一下,对大陆、美国、大马三地的油脂商品走势分化孰真孰假需要一个时间上的判断。谨慎对待当前一波三折的行情。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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