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Global Markets Analysis – 26 November 2015

A commentary written by Tony Tong


26.11.2015 周四 全球油脂类商品普遍上涨 多单继续持有

美盘豆油1月合约,在脱离了前期日K线图表上均线系统的束缚后,短线上方已经没有上行压力,昨日周三晚间,美豆油中阳红盘上涨,期价继续保持重心上移,并且上行速度开始加快,继续维持短多观点不变。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1605主力合约,在前期低点附近受到有力支撑后, 日K线图表上“双重底”形态明显。当前短线走势较为迅猛,特别是内盘豆油1605主力合约,短短3天时间期价已经大幅上涨,多头主力来势汹汹,前期的所有空头操作者已经全部被套,这也是我们前期一直建议忍受短线的期价震荡下挫也不建议短线低位区域追空的原因。(我们操作思维很清楚,短线的下挫整理其目的是为后期的上行在夯实底部;我们能场外观望也不低位追空),在昨日小幅整理之后,今天周四盘中期价再次大幅上涨,我们老多单;新进埋伏多单;均继续持有。

马盘毛棕榈油基准2月,昨日周三盘中期价阴K线下挫,在盘中瞬间下破60天均线支撑后,下午多头主力又快速收复失地,终盘以带下影线的中阳K线收盘,今天周四早盘,马盘棕榈在美盘与内盘不断走强影响下,早盘跳空高开,反身向上动作展开,短线走势上基本符合我们对马棕榈走势的研判。后市转身之后的反弹上行走势值得期待。

小结:11月26日周四盘中,全球油脂类商品普遍超跌探底后进行修正性补涨。美国11月的第四个星期四为美国的传统假期“感恩节”美盘将停盘。在短线角度来说,全球油脂商品的反弹上行节奏开始趋于一致,后市继续保持短多观点不变。个人观点认为大陆内盘前期中长线多单,前几日新进埋伏多单;继续持有。马盘前期多单持有,今天部分短线操作者可适当跟进马棕榈2月或者5月,后市超跌整理反身后的反弹上行机会今天开始显现,后市油脂类商品我们继续保持乐观的看高一线。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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