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Global Markets Analysis – 26 October 2014

A commentary written by Tony Tong


26.10.2014 周日 本周回顾 下周展望

本周10月20日至10月24日五个交易日中,美盘豆油12月抵抗性下挫短线整理,在周二(10月21日晚间)见低点31.60,距离我们一直重复提到的前低31.52(9月10日)仅仅一步距离,最终在前低附近受到支撑,该点位未能被技术下破,随后三天逐步短线出现走强,表明9月10日的低点仍为关键技术支撑位。后市密切关注其短线走强的持续性能否得到延续。

大陆内盘油脂商品本周属于先抑后扬短线走势,其中豆油1501是属于下破前低后的触底反弹,后期能否突破日图表上均线的层层压制将成为关键。

马盘毛棕榈油基准1月,在周初时候抵抗性整理力度较强,期价下挫空间收窄,当受全球油脂商品短线上扬时,马棕榈油一马当先率先出现有力度的上行,期价再次站上60天线上方,技术上观察,后市短线上仍存在挑战9月30日的高点2236的可能,若2236阻挡再被突破则前期反弹得以延续。

国际原油仍在80.00整数关上方震荡,本周的跌势趋缓,短线上出现横盘震荡走势。美元指数从10月初开始出现回落整理走势,一直到本周初时候,受多头排列的日图表均线系统中40天线支撑出现再次走强,本周后半周几天美元走高。在美元由回落整理再次转为走强时候,美黄金本周后半周则出现了反弹过后的冲高回落相反短线走势,前期持有黄金品种的短线反弹多单可止盈平仓规避回落风险。

综述:本周油脂商品先抑后扬,短线走势上出现走强迹象,该走势是否能得以延续成为我们下周主要关注焦点。个人观点认为本周短线进场追随多头主力抢反弹的多单下周继续谨慎持有,将本周一与周二的低点设为多单止损点,密切关注下周油脂商品的后期走势。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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