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Global Markets Analysis – 27 April 2015

A commentary written by Tony Tong


27.04.2015 周一 内盘短线多单可适当减仓,待回落后再接回

上周四美盘豆油7月合约,中阳红盘上涨,而周五时候又中阴K线期价下跌,周四的上行未得到延续,表明短线美豆油仍在震荡,在更大层面仍处于地位的筑底过程, 在这个筑底过程中短线的上行震荡不可避免,以时间换空间的小区间徘徊仍延续中,后市短线仍不排除短线回落的可能。

马盘毛棕榈油基准7月,上周五高开后未形成向上发力,仅仅昙花一现而后高开低走,终盘以中阴K线下跌报收与2154一线。今天周一早盘延续中阴低开低走,短线又出现下坠K线形态,盘面表现较为疲软,期价下跌要求强烈。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1509主力合约,由于前期内盘油脂商品的反弹上行走势略强于美盘和马盘,后市短线在未得到美盘与马盘的有力支持下,恐内盘单独走强的上行动能存在衰竭的可能,部分短线接盘多单可逢高适当止盈平仓出局。

小结:美盘与马盘油脂类商品短线走势疲软,在南美新豆上市高峰期以及美国与中国大豆种植期,恐全球油脂商品在这个时间段选择向上突破难度较大。当前市场整体表现仍属于震荡筑大底层面,短线的走势容易受到外界各类利空因素影响而发生小的回落。个人建议前期内盘接盘短线多单可逢高适当减仓。马盘多单可减仓也可反手空单进场形成锁单,静观盘面新的变化。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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