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Global Markets Analysis – 27 April 2017

A commentary written by Tony Tong


27.04.2017 周四 油脂类商品多单继续持有 耐心等待做多人气凝聚

美盘豆油7月合约昨日周三晚间中阳红盘上涨,整体观察美豆油7月,期价仍处于31.20—32.20区间范围内波动震荡,期价面临2个压力点—-1. 区间上沿32.20位置的技术阻挡,2. 均线系统的40天均线的阻挡(32.60一线)。美豆油几次反弹冲击上方40天线的的阻挡未果(日K线图表上为空头排列的均线系统),虽然美豆油上攻未果,但期价再下挫的难度也在增大——我们继续保持酝酿低位拐点观点不变,等待做多人气聚集。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油棕榈油1709主力合约,今天周四盘面小阳K线红盘上涨,特别是棕榈油1709合约,在4.25日周二当天的长阴K线下跌之后(空头主力增仓进场刻意打压),美盘豆油却并未支持,随着美豆油的小幅走高,内盘棕榈油1709合约上的恐慌情绪得到缓解,当前期价又再度收复周二的失地,我们继续以静制动的多单持仓不动。

马盘毛棕榈油基准7月,昨天周三盘面低开高走小阳K线报收,今天周四早盘又跳空高开,今天期价又临近“三颗红小兵”高度,盘面上技术性反弹要求仍然存在,我们继续短多观点对待,不建议盲目止损操作。

小结:美豆油仍然在上蹿下跳中选择横盘整理的突破方向,我们继续保持上破的观点不变。操作上:前期多单继续持有,耐心等待“期价拐点”的走势出现。

[SUMMARY]
• US soybean oil continues to seek a breakout from the sideway trend.
• Our outlook remains: anticipating an upward breakout.

[ACTION]
• Traders may retain long position, as we wait for a turning point of the trend.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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