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Global Markets Analysis – 27 December 2016

A commentary written by Tony Tong


27.12.2016 周二 油脂类商品上少量多单低位跟进;后市短线存在期价反弹态势

美盘豆油3月合约,继上周五十字星收盘后,今天周二亚洲电子盘中阳红盘表现,期价略有止跌企稳,当前期价回落的位置恰好处于原来上升趋势线部位(随后一半天报告中,我们对美盘豆油3月作图来一次系统性走势分析及未来后市走势预测), 美盘豆油的回落整理走势已经相当充分,我们以酝酿低位反弹拐点观点看待。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1705主力合约,在美盘豆油红盘表现提振下,今天周二早盘期价高开高走,在昨日的下影线K线表现之后,今天盘面率先出现期价走强迹象,可部分多单再次少量跟进。

马盘毛棕榈油基准3月,昨日停盘一天,今天周二开盘后受内盘油脂商品走强带动,早盘跳空高开高走,期价也出现转强态势(今日涨幅达到2%以上),盘面上多头主力护盘动作明显,继续等待美盘与内盘油脂商品走强指引。

小结:今天周二油脂商品盘面上出现走强迹象,均以红盘上涨表现,盘中明显存在多头主力低位接盘动作,短线走势上正如我们所预期,后市我们以回落整理之后的保守短多思维看待。观点认为具体操作上:早先反手被套多单继续持有,部分交易者可低位少量多单跟进,以摊薄原多单持续成本,后市短线存在期价走高机会。

[SUMMARY]
• Edible oils show strong sign of uptrend as we had expected, supported by strong long interest.
• We maintain short-term long position outlook after the downward correction.

[ACTION]
• Traders who turned long from short may maintain position.
• Traders may enter long position at low prices.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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