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Global Markets Analysis – 27 January 2015

A commentary written by Tony Tong


27.01.2015 周二 空单逢低全部减持,激进多单准备进场

美盘豆油3月合约,已经连续5连阴,今天晚间运行第6根日K线。从盘面观察美豆油,美豆油的下挫来势汹汹,已经破前低创出近期新低。期价继续往我们早以前预期的31.00-30.00位置移动,我们早先就提到过30.00,这个位置就是长期上升趋势线支撑位,本周初这几天密切关注在该位置美豆油的具体表现。

大陆内盘油脂豆油与棕榈油下挫幅度没美豆油那么疯狂,盘中仍些许看到多头低位接盘抵抗,相对于美豆油30.00一线,在内盘油脂商品上接盘多单也许是个良策,当然这需要后市行情的验证。

马盘毛棕榈油基准4月,继续在下方60天均线位置震荡,也未出现像美豆油那样的猛烈情况发生,回落整理行情延续中。

小结:美豆油下破箱体惯性急挫,其可靠性令市场怀疑。大陆内盘与马盘油脂商品下挫未明显跟随美盘,下跌幅度也较小。今日晚间美盘豆油运行第6根K线,5-7根的变盘概率仍存。我们短线下探寻底观点不变。个人观点认为前期空单继续逢低减仓直至全部减完。激进操作者未来一两日内可待美豆油靠近30.00一线位置在内盘和马盘上多单适量接盘埋伏。建议稳健操作者不见长下影或者长阳包阴不行动。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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