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Global Markets Analysis – 27 July 2014

A commentary written by Tony Tong


7.27 周日 激进型进场 稳健型观望 (21.07.2014 – 25.07.2014)

美盘豆油12月本周低位震荡,期价低开收下影线,高开收上影线,5个交易日上下震荡激烈,截止到周五以阴K线带下影线收盘,多空双方在36.00整数一线争夺激烈,短暂有止跌企稳信号,但向上的反弹动能尚未展开。密切关注后市中阳级别以上的红K线是否出现。

马盘毛棕榈油10月合约,本周5个交易日先抑后扬,7月23日(周三)的低点是否成为短线的拐点成为下周我们所要关注的重点。

大陆内盘豆油1501合约自6月25日冲高回落的反弹失败后的下跌以来,向下的四大跳空缺口在日图表上清晰可见如普通跳空、突破跳空、中继跳空和衰竭跳空。连续下跌多日之后本周短线5个交易日出现低位震荡的右侧横盘迹象,虽然短线方向仍不明确,但第四跳空衰竭跳空的缺口需要被弥补的技术要求越发强烈。内盘棕榈油1501合约,本周5个交易日期价宽幅剧烈震荡,多空争夺激烈,短线盘面出现部分多头接盘,但空方仍死死压制,多空谁胜谁败仍待下周验证。

综述:油脂类商品 7月21日-7月25日当周,在前期持续下跌之后,短暂出现止跌,但是否完全下跌企稳尚不够技术明确,并且7月23日盘中的低点是否成为本轮下跌的低点成为后市走势关键。个人观点是在操作上,激进型操作者少量接盘多单进场试盘,在提前设置好止损后,静观盘面后市表现。稳健型操作者和波段操作者可场外观望,待进一步的技术信号和盘面语言明确后再进场不迟 。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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