Share

Tweet this

Dealing Desk Hotline

(603)-2181 8848

Global Markets Analysis – 27 July 2017

A commentary written by Tony Tong


27.07.2017周四油脂类商品短线走势分化马棕榈强 内盘美盘弱

美盘黄豆连长阴下跌之后短线下挫态势依旧。纽约原油受利多消息面支持短线反弹上行走势延续。美盘豆油12月合约被夹在二者之间,期价在7月11月前高附近一直波动徘徊震荡—–既不上破也不下坠。对于美豆油当前模糊走势令短线操作难度越来越大(食之无味 弃之可惜—鸡肋感觉)。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油棕榈油1709主力合约,内盘豆油紧密追随美盘豆油走势也呈现短线横盘走势。内盘棕榈油表现稍弱,期价在7月11日前高点之下运行,但下方又隐隐存在60天均线处的支撑。内盘油脂商品处于一个可上可下的夹缝中运行。

马盘毛棕榈油基准10月,本周二时候期价长阳上涨,率先一举突破7月11日的高点。昨日周三上午小阴表现,下午盘面逐渐走高,终盘以小阳上涨收盘。今天周四盘面继续小阳K线上涨——-经过2天盘中观察,马盘棕榈油单个品种上破了前高(马棕榈受7月份产量下降利多情绪提振,上破成功了)。

小结:美盘内盘马盘油脂类商品短线走势出现分化,内盘与美盘基本还保持一致,马盘棕榈“鹤立鸡群”单独走出了一波行情,令我们短线操作难度增大(既要考虑美盘豆油,又要考虑马盘棕榈油上涨动作的真假性),当我们今天周四看清楚了盘面这种分化走势时—–为时已晚。全是本周一时候一个猛烈的下蹲动作(7月24日下跌假动作),干扰了我们操作节奏。接下来我们只能补救了。具体操作:内盘油脂商品短线空单继续持有(上破前高止损)。马盘棕榈油空单持有者已经处于被套当中—–明天期价会有一个下跌过程(短线三连阳后,短线分时图存在技术超买现象应该回落整理),我们可在明天出现低点时候,空单逢低出局,出局后不再新操作,休息几天把市场节奏特别是我们的思维节奏调整一下(我们本波操作节奏有点混乱,出现了误差)。

[SUMMARY]
• The movement of China edible oils and US edible oils are still consistent, while Malaysia palm oil seems to be moving in its own direction.
• We shall pay close attention to the overbought condition of Malaysia palm oil on Thursday and whether it will be able to retrace on Friday.

[ACTION]
• Traders enter short positions on Malaysia palm oil and close those positions when prices are low on Friday.
• Traders may retain short positions on China edible oils.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

Subscribe to OPF Blog via Feed Reader or Email
 

DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






Share and Enjoy:
[del.icio.us] [Digg] [Facebook] [Google] [Mixx] [MySpace] [Twitter] [Windows Live] [Yahoo!] [Email]

Post a Comment

Displayed next to your comments.

Not displayed publicly

If you have a website, link ti it here

PLEASE NOTE:

OPF reserves the right to delete comments that are snarky, offensive, or off-topic. If in doubt, read our Comments Policy.


SiteLock