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Global Markets Analysis – 27 October 2014

A commentary written by Tony Tong


27.10.2014 周一 提前设置止损 多单谨慎持有

周一早盘,美盘豆油12月合约亚洲电子盘意外低开,上周末的短线走高未能充分延续,从更长周期观察(周图表),美豆油已经是连续11周低位横盘震荡整理,中长线大角度的筑底过程延续中,并存在以时间换空间的嫌疑。

受美盘电子盘走低影响,大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油早盘跳空低开低走,期价有所滑落,成交萎缩。

马来西亚船运调查机构ITS发布数据显示,10月1日至25日期间马来西亚棕榈油出口量为1.135.252吨,比上月同期出口减少11%个百分点。受此消息以及外围市场走低影响,周一早盘,马盘毛棕榈油基准1月小幅低开,由于已经进入棕榈油减产周期(未来3个月)令跌幅收窄。期价以十字星K线纠结于60天线附近,盘面上观望气氛较浓。

小结:当前全球油脂类商品整体仍纠结于去库存过程中,由于消化库存是个极其缓慢的过程,油脂商品的长线筑底过程也就变得漫长。个人观点认为长线趋势线操作者可继续观望。短线激进操作者中轻仓试盘反弹多单者,多单以上周初的低点作为止损点,多单谨慎持有。后市短线角度密切关注上周末的短线走强能否得以延续。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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