Share

Tweet this

Dealing Desk Hotline

(603)-2181 8848

Global Markets Analysis – 27 October 2015

A commentary written by Tony Tong


27.10.2015 周二 美豆收割阶段尾声;油脂商品做最后一次下挫

当前美国大豆收割速度加快,季节性收获接近尾声阶段。南美地区、巴西、阿根廷的大豆种植工作又积极展开。令油脂类商品承压严重,在最后美国大豆总产量明朗前,油脂类商品仍有最后一次探底过程。其中美盘豆油12月合约,昨日周一晚间中阴K线下跌,期价短线下挫迹象明显,短空观点看待。

美原油市场短线下行态势延续中,期价呈小幅震荡下跌,这也是当前油脂类商品疲软的主要原因。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1601主力合约,在受到美盘豆油前几日错误技术信号干扰一次后,昨日报告中我们及时纠正了短线的操作方案,由短线反弹短多操作转为短空观点操作,或锁仓或短空进场,后市内盘油脂商品仍有一定的下行风险需要释放。

马盘棕榈油基准1月,昨天周一盘中阴K线运行,终盘结束前盘中出现下跌加速迹象,最后以光头光脚的中阴K线收盘,期价下跌2.06%,表明马盘棕榈油也开始追随全球油脂类商品的疲软而出现走低,技术观察马盘棕榈油基准1月,期价重心仍存在一定的回落空间。

小结:美盘大豆与豆油昨日晚间果然承压下挫,在10月份收获的最后几天做下探状,短线角度的下探整理走势较为明显,虽然该走势在很早时候我们就曾预料到,但下方的真正回落空间有多大,尚待我们短线角度的继续盘中观察。当前油脂商品建议暂时以短空观点看待。个人观点认为稳健操作者,中线多单与短线空单对锁,以规避当前下探行情下带来的回落风险。略微激进的操作者昨日短多平仓止损出局后,新进空单继续持有。耐心等待本波最后一次下探结束,在随后的较为理想的低位期价区域中平空翻多机会。对于中长线长期角度的观点,我们继续保持前期震荡下探筑大底过程延续中的观点不变。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

Subscribe to OPF Blog via Feed Reader or Email
 

DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






Share and Enjoy:
[del.icio.us] [Digg] [Facebook] [Google] [Mixx] [MySpace] [Twitter] [Windows Live] [Yahoo!] [Email]

Post a Comment

Displayed next to your comments.

Not displayed publicly

If you have a website, link ti it here

PLEASE NOTE:

OPF reserves the right to delete comments that are snarky, offensive, or off-topic. If in doubt, read our Comments Policy.


SiteLock