Share

Tweet this

Dealing Desk Hotline

(603)-2181 8848

Global Markets Analysis – 27 October 2016

A commentary written by Tony Tong


27.10.2016 周四 美盘大豆发力反弹;美盘豆油略显踌躇

昨日周三晚间,美盘黄豆连中阳上涨,当前期价已经达到1020一线,量价配合良好,反弹上行走势延续中。而美盘豆油12月合约的短线走势就略微出现犹豫,盘面上总是长阳K线过后,就出现小的阴K线,虽然不能明确表明美豆油上涨动能衰竭,但总令人有丝丝担忧情绪,我们继续保持短多前提下的谨慎心态,后市随着期价的不断拉高,逢高减持对应的内盘与马盘油脂商品多单仍是我们主要情怀。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1701主力合约,昨日周三盘面中阳上涨,期价仍呈现出震荡反弹上行走势,但盘面上阴阳K线的相互转换速度非常频繁-隐隐一种不安全可靠的感觉,周二(10月25日)的长上影线带给我们的心理压力还是时刻提醒我们,随着期价的走高,我们一定要保持更为谨慎的心态,不能在盲目乐观中迷失自己。

马盘毛棕榈油基准1月,不急不躁的追随美盘与内盘油脂商品走势,期价继续沿着日K线图表上多头排列的均线系统努力爬升,我们在中长线保持多头观点不变情况下,对短线角度的走势也要保持一定的谨慎心态,谨防受到美盘与内盘油脂商品出现恐慌情绪之后的拖累情况发生。

小结:全球油脂类商品的短线反弹上行走势延续中,截止到目前盘中仍未出现变盘技术信号出现。但考虑到下方的短线多头的获利盘已经非常庞大,所以我们在保持短多思维不变前提下,也要时刻提醒散户朋友把握多单逢高出局的盘中机会(所有散户交易者的短线多单不可能都平仓在一个价位上;每人都要有自己独立的思考空间与操作空间,期价上的些许误差不是期货交易的重点而操作节奏上的心态把握才是关键),我们已经连续多日重申该操作模式了,相信大家已经基本清楚我们所讲的,这里就不再过多复述了(资金安全永远第一位;盈利空间第二位)。

[SUMMARY]
• The current short-term upward reversal of global edible oils has yet to see changing technical indicators.
• Despite maintaining our short-term long position, after taking into consideration the rather huge short-term profit that can be taken by closing-out long positions, retail traders should cautiously wait for opportunities to exit positions at a high price to gain good profits.
• While it is not possible for all retail traders to exit the market at the same price, each participant should be able to formulate an exit strategy that is suitable to them.

[ACTION]
• We reiterate our view of the past few days: safety of capital comes first, profit potential is secondary.

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

Subscribe to OPF Blog via Feed Reader or Email
 

DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






Share and Enjoy:
[del.icio.us] [Digg] [Facebook] [Google] [Mixx] [MySpace] [Twitter] [Windows Live] [Yahoo!] [Email]

Post a Comment

Displayed next to your comments.

Not displayed publicly

If you have a website, link ti it here

PLEASE NOTE:

OPF reserves the right to delete comments that are snarky, offensive, or off-topic. If in doubt, read our Comments Policy.


SiteLock