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Global Markets Analysis – 28 April 2016

A commentary written by Tony Tong


28.04.2016 周四 油脂类商品短线走势依然较弱

美盘豆油7月合约,昨日周三晚间中阴下跌,前几日的萎靡走势一下子变得明显起来,今天早盘的亚洲电子盘期价仍有下坠感。我们连续几天的警惕心态终于变成现实。不是不知道而是仅仅没提前说透。早在盘感中,我们早早就预感到反弹之后的期价持续萎靡不振已经令人不得不谨慎,我们更不想在五一假期前在与它苦苦恋战,没必要过节也纠结其中。

大陆内盘油脂商品豆油与棕榈油1609主力合约,今天周四早盘,期价跳空低开,瞬间的期价下挫走势就变得非常明显,日K线图表上均线系统多头排列情况下的回落走势又清晰起来,后市短线仍存在下坠要求-我们以反弹后的强势和回落整理观点对待。前几日连续报告中建议多单逢高减持后,已经出场的交易者可场外观望。

马盘毛棕榈油基准7月,前期5个交易日十字星跳空高开反弹后,在4月22日瞬间的跳空低开低走,已经引起我们的警惕心理,马盘棕榈存在期价下挫考验下方60天均线支撑的技术要求,后市短线短空观点对待,但我们仅建议逢高减持多单,未参与本波短空操作。

小结:油脂类商品前几日的萎靡不振早早引起了我们内心的警惕,在多头主力逢高减仓前,我们已经建议散户操作者提前多单适量平仓出场,就是为了规避期价下滑而带来的利润缩水。后市油脂类商品短线仍存在走低态势。今天是五一假期前最后的第二个交易日,已经出场的交易者场外观望,待假期过后再进场操作不迟,不急于这一半天的行情。

This post is contributed by OPF Guest Blogger, Tony Tong.

Tong used to be a capital market service rep licensed by China Futures Association. He became a professional independent trader later on. He has more than 10 years of personal experience trading in commodity futures market and is adept at cross-market analysis to identify trading opportunities. He uses fundamental analysis to filter out the best investment products and technical analysis to determine entry and exit points and consider his trading style as moderately conservative while at the same, is also very good at medium-term position trading based on technical charts.
 

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DISCLAIMER: This post is written for general information only. The author, publisher and/or any third party involved in the distribution of this work assume no legal responsibilities and shall have no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential losses, costs or expenses arising from the use of the information contained herein.

 






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